Wednesday · August 26 · 1:13 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 69 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to cf
Final
PHILLIES
6
Mariners
0
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 6–0 Phillies
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games