Monday · August 24 ✦
PHILLIES @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
Phillies
2
MARINERS
9
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–9 Mariners
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 69% | 31% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games