Tuesday · August 25 ✦
PHILLIES @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
Phillies
1
MARINERS
4
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 1–4 Mariners
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games