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Sunday · August 23 · 1:12 PM ✦

CUBS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 69 degrees, cloudy, wind 3 mph out to cf

Final

CUBS 19
Mariners 2

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 19–2 Cubs

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 5–4 ✓
Logistic Chicago Cubs 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 35% 65% — ✗
Consensus Chicago Cubs 52% 48% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games