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Friday · August 21 ✦

CUBS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park.

Final

Cubs 5
MARINERS 6

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 5–6 Mariners

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Seattle Mariners 37% 63% — ✓
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 35% 65% — ✓
Consensus Seattle Mariners 46% 54% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games