Saturday · August 8 · 6:50 pm ✦
RAYS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph l to r
Final
RAYS
3
Mariners
2
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 3–2 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games