Friday · August 7 ✦
RAYS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
RAYS
2
Mariners
1
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 2–1 Rays
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 46% | 54% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games