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Friday · August 7 ✦

RAYS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park.

Final

RAYS 2
Mariners 1

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 2–1 Rays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 42% 58% 3–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 45% 55%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 41% 59%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 46% 54% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

61–61

50% across 122 games

Mariners this season

75–47

61% across 122 games