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Sunday · August 9 · 1:11 PM ✦

RAYS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph out to rf

Final

RAYS 4
Mariners 1

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 4–1 Rays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 57% 43%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 38% 62%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 47% 53% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

61–61

50% across 122 games

Mariners this season

75–47

61% across 122 games