Sunday · August 9 · 1:11 PM ✦
RAYS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph out to rf
Final
RAYS
4
Mariners
1
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 4–1 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 36% | 64% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games