Thursday · August 6 ✦
TIGERS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
TIGERS
11
Mariners
0
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 5–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 11–0 Tigers
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 58% | 42% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 64% | 36% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 50% | 50% | 5–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
75–46
62% across 121 games
Mariners this season
75–47
61% across 122 games