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Thursday · August 6 ✦

TIGERS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park.

Final

TIGERS 11
Mariners 0

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 5–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 11–0 Tigers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 5–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 47% 53% 5–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 45% 55% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 64% 36% 5–4 ✓
Logistic Seattle Mariners 41% 59% — ✗
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 50% 50% — ✗
Consensus Detroit Tigers 50% 50% 5–4 ✓
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games