Wednesday · July 22 · 12:41 PM ✦
REDS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 84 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph l to r
Final
REDS
5
Mariners
3
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 5–3 Reds
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games