Friday · July 31 ✦
TWINS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
TWINS
5
Mariners
3
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 5–3 Twins
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games