Tuesday · July 21 ✦
REDS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
REDS
4
Mariners
2
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 4–2 Reds
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 35% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games