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Saturday · July 4 · 1:11 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf

Final

Blue Jays 0
MARINERS 11

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 0–11 Mariners

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 49% 51% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 45% 55%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 41% 59%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 48% 52% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

42–44

49% across 86 games

Mariners this season

54–30

64% across 84 games