Friday · July 3 ✦
BLUE JAYS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
BLUE JAYS
2
Mariners
0
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 2–0 Blue Jays
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 46% | 54% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
42–44
49% across 86 games
Mariners this season
54–30
64% across 84 games