Back to the recap

Friday · June 19 ✦

RED SOX @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park.

Final

RED SOX 6
Mariners 2

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 6–2 Red Sox

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic Seattle Mariners 30% 70%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 34% 66%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 37% 63% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games

Mariners this season

55–30

65% across 85 games