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Saturday · June 20 ✦

RED SOX @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park.

Final

RED SOX 5
Mariners 1

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 5–1 Red Sox

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 31% 69% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 39% 61%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 51% 49%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 46% 54% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games

Mariners this season

55–30

65% across 85 games