Wednesday · June 17 · 6:40 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 71 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
ORIOLES
5
Mariners
3
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 5–3 Orioles
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 48% | 52% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games