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Tuesday · May 19 ✦

WHITE SOX @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park.

Final

WHITE SOX 2
Mariners 1

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 2–1 White Sox

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 35% 65% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 35% 65% 2–3
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 35% 65% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 25% 75% 2–4
Logistic Chicago White Sox 53% 47%
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 63% 37%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 40% 60% 2–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

22–22

50% across 44 games

Mariners this season

28–17

62% across 45 games