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Sunday · May 17 · 4:22 PM ✦

PADRES @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from lf

Final

PADRES 8
Mariners 3

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 8–3 Padres

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 42% 58% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Seattle Mariners 47% 53% — ✗
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 36% 64% — ✗
Consensus Seattle Mariners 43% 57% 4–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games