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Sunday · May 17 · 4:22 PM ✦

PADRES @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from lf

Final

PADRES 8
Mariners 3

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 8–3 Padres

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 44% 56% 4–4
Logistic Seattle Mariners 47% 53%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 36% 64%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 43% 57% 4–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games

Mariners this season

28–17

62% across 45 games