Saturday · May 16 · 4:17 PM ✦
PADRES @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 57 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph calm
Final
PADRES
7
Mariners
4
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 7–4 Padres
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 50% | 50% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
31–12
72% across 43 games
Mariners this season
28–17
62% across 45 games