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Wednesday · May 6 · 1:10 pm ✦

BRAVES @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to cf

Final

Braves 1
MARINERS 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 1–3 Mariners

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 64% 36% 5–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 51% 49%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 49% 51%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 50% 50% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

25–21

54% across 46 games

Mariners this season

28–17

62% across 45 games