Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦
BRAVES @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 76 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph out to rf
Final
BRAVES
3
Mariners
2
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 3–2 Braves
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games