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Monday · May 4 · 6:40 pm ✦

BRAVES @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf

Final

Braves 4
MARINERS 5

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 4–5 Mariners

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 46% 54%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 38% 62%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 45% 55% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

25–21

54% across 46 games

Mariners this season

28–17

62% across 45 games