Saturday · May 2 · 6:40 pm ✦
ROYALS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
ROYALS
3
Mariners
2
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 3–2 Royals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 38% | 62% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games