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Friday · May 1 ✦

ROYALS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park.

Final

ROYALS 7
Mariners 6

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 7–6 Royals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 42% 58%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 40% 60%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 49% 51% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games

Mariners this season

29–17

63% across 46 games