← Back to the recap

Friday · May 1 ✦

ROYALS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park.

Final

ROYALS 7
Mariners 6

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 7–6 Royals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Seattle Mariners 42% 58% — ✗
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 40% 60% — ✗
Consensus Seattle Mariners 49% 51% 4–3 ✗
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games