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Wednesday · April 22 · 1:11 PM ✦

ATHLETICS @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 52 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Athletics 4
MARINERS 5

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 4–5 Mariners

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Mariners Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Athletics 65% 35% 5–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic Seattle Mariners 45% 55%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 32% 68%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 48% 52% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

30–17

64% across 47 games

Mariners this season

29–17

63% across 46 games