Monday · April 20 ✦
ATHLETICS @ MARINERS
T-Mobile Park.
Final
ATHLETICS
6
Mariners
4
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 6–4 Athletics
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Athletics | Mariners | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Athletics | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Athletics | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Athletics this season
30–17
64% across 47 games
Mariners this season
29–17
63% across 46 games