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Monday · March 30 · 6:40 pm ✦

YANKEES @ MARINERS

T-Mobile Park. · 62 degrees, roof closed, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

Yankees 1
MARINERS 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 1–2 Mariners

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Mariners Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 55% 45% 5–4
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 62% 38% 5–4
Logistic New York Yankees 52% 48%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 35% 65%
Consensus New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Mariners this season

30–17

64% across 47 games