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Monday · September 21 · 6:45 pm ✦

TWINS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to cf

Final

Twins 2
GIANTS 5

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 2–5 Giants

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Giants Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 2–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 49% 51% 2–3 ✓
Logistic Minnesota Twins 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 71% 29% — ✗
Consensus Minnesota Twins 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games