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Saturday · September 12 · 1:05 PM ✦

PADRES @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 67 degrees, sunny, wind 15 mph varies

Final

PADRES 7
Giants 6

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 7–6 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 2–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Logistic San Francisco Giants 40% 60% — ✗
Random Forest San Diego Padres 61% 39% — ✓
Consensus San Francisco Giants 46% 54% 3–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games