← Back to the recap

Sunday · September 13 · 4:20 pm ✦

PADRES @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 64 degrees, sunny, wind 22 mph out to cf

Final

PADRES 6
Giants 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 6–4 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 64% 36% 3–2 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest San Diego Padres 69% 31% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 54% 46% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games