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Friday · September 11 · 7:15 pm ✦

PADRES @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 61 degrees, clear, wind 19 mph out to cf

Final

PADRES 7
Giants 5

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 7–5 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 65% 35% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 58% 42% 3–3 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 54% 46% — ✓
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus San Diego Padres 54% 46% 4–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games