← Back to the recap

Wednesday · August 26 · 12:45 PM ✦

REDS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 70 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

REDS 10
Giants 9

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–2 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 10–9 Reds

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Giants Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 65% 35% 3–2 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 69% 31% 3–2 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 67% 33% 4–2 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 3–2 ✓
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 54% 46% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 65% 35% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 62% 38% 3–2 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games