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Tuesday · August 25 ✦

REDS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

Reds 1
GIANTS 3

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–2 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–3 Giants

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Giants Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 58% 42% 3–2 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 65% 35% 3–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 62% 38% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 67% 33% 4–2 ✗
Logistic San Francisco Giants 39% 61% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 69% 31% — ✗
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 58% 42% 3–2 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games