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Tuesday · August 11 ✦

ASTROS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

Astros 1
GIANTS 4

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 1–4 Giants

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Giants Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 4–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 38% 62%
Random Forest Houston Astros 63% 37%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 48% 52% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

69–52

57% across 121 games

Giants this season

72–50

59% across 122 games