Back to the recap

Monday · August 10 ✦

ASTROS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

ASTROS 6
Giants 3

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 6–3 Astros

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Giants Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 75% 25% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 4–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 40% 60%
Random Forest Houston Astros 62% 38%
Consensus Houston Astros 53% 47% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

69–52

57% across 121 games

Giants this season

72–50

59% across 122 games