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Monday · August 10 ✦

ASTROS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

ASTROS 6
Giants 3

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 6–3 Astros

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Giants Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 75% 25% 4–2 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 4–3 ✗
Logistic San Francisco Giants 40% 60% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 62% 38% — ✓
Consensus Houston Astros 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games