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Friday · August 7 ✦

TIGERS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

Tigers 2
GIANTS 5

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–5 Giants

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Giants Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 64% 36% 4–3
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 46% 54%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 57% 43%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 55% 45% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games

Giants this season

72–50

59% across 122 games