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Wednesday · July 29 · 12:46 PM ✦

BREWERS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 67 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph out to cf

Final

Brewers 3
GIANTS 16

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 3–16 Giants

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Giants Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 45% 55%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 52% 48% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

70–53

57% across 123 games

Giants this season

72–50

59% across 122 games