Back to the recap

Tuesday · July 28 ✦

BREWERS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

BREWERS 8
Giants 2

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 8–2 Brewers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Giants Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 42% 58%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 46% 54%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 52% 48% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

70–53

57% across 123 games

Giants this season

72–50

59% across 122 games