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Friday · June 12 ✦

CUBS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

CUBS 5
Giants 1

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 5–1 Cubs

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 4–4
Logistic San Francisco Giants 38% 62%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 31% 69%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 43% 57% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

62–64

49% across 126 games

Giants this season

73–52

58% across 125 games