Friday · June 12 ✦
CUBS @ GIANTS
Oracle Park.
Final
CUBS
5
Giants
1
Our Pick
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 5–1 Cubs
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Giants | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Francisco Giants | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Francisco Giants | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Francisco Giants | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Francisco Giants | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Francisco Giants | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Francisco Giants | 43% | 57% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Giants this season
89–65
58% across 154 games