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Saturday · June 13 ✦

CUBS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

CUBS 6
Giants 1

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 6–1 Cubs

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Giants Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 49% 51% 5–5
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic San Francisco Giants 37% 63%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 28% 72%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

40–46

47% across 86 games

Giants this season

47–38

55% across 85 games