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Tuesday · June 9 ✦

NATIONALS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

NATIONALS 6
Giants 3

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 6–3 Nationals

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 33% 67% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 35% 65% 2–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 22% 78% 3–5 ✗
Logistic San Francisco Giants 45% 55% — ✗
Random Forest Washington Nationals 69% 31% — ✓
Consensus San Francisco Giants 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games