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Monday · June 8 · 6:45 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to cf

Final

NATIONALS 4
Giants 3

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–5 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 4–3 Nationals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 27% 73% 3–6
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 36% 64% 3–5
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 38% 62% 3–5
Logistic Washington Nationals 56% 44%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 59% 41%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 44% 56% 3–5
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

46–41

53% across 87 games

Giants this season

47–38

55% across 85 games