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Sunday · May 10 · 1:06 PM ✦

PIRATES @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 59 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

Pirates 6
GIANTS 7

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 6–7 Giants

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 71% 29% 4–2
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 60% 40%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 57% 43% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

26–19

58% across 45 games

Giants this season

28–16

64% across 44 games