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Saturday · May 9 ✦

PIRATES @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

PIRATES 13
Giants 3

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 13–3 Pirates

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Giants Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 62% 38% 4–4 ✓
Logistic San Francisco Giants 33% 67% — ✗
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 34% 66% — ✗
Consensus San Francisco Giants 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games