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Tuesday · May 5 · 6:45 pm ✦

PADRES @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

PADRES 10
Giants 5

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 10–5 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 69% 31% 5–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 44% 56%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 46% 54%
Consensus San Diego Padres 54% 46% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games

Giants this season

28–16

64% across 44 games