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Monday · May 4 · 6:45 pm ✦

PADRES @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to cf

Final

Padres 2
GIANTS 3

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 2–3 Giants

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 64% 36% 5–3
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 38% 62% 4–4
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 47% 53% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 36% 64% 3–4
Logistic San Francisco Giants 47% 53%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 50% 50%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 47% 53% 4–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games

Giants this season

28–16

64% across 44 games