← Back to the recap

Sunday · April 26 · 1:06 PM ✦

MARLINS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park. · 57 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph varies

Final

Marlins 3
GIANTS 6

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 3–6 Giants

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Giants Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Miami Marlins 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 33% 67% — ✓
Consensus San Francisco Giants 46% 54% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games