Back to the recap

Tuesday · April 7 ✦

PHILLIES @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

Phillies 0
GIANTS 6

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 0–6 Giants

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Giants Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 60% 40% 5–3
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 67% 33% 4–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 45% 55%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 29% 71%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 52% 48% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

32–15

68% across 47 games

Giants this season

29–17

63% across 46 games