Back to the recap

Tuesday · April 21 ✦

DODGERS @ GIANTS

Oracle Park.

Final

Dodgers 1
GIANTS 3

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 1–3 Giants

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Giants Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 65% 35% 4–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 37% 63%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 37% 63%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 46% 54% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

24–21

53% across 45 games

Giants this season

28–17

62% across 45 games